Digital Media Blog 12/13/2019

Digital Media Blog

12/13/2019

Current issues #9
Is Trump Going to War With Iran?

In a tweet late Sunday, President Donald Trump warned Iran of “consequences the likes of which few throughout history have suffered before,” seemingly raising the odds of military conflict with one of the most powerful armed forces in the Middle East. He was responding to Iranian President Hassan Rouhani’s remarks to Iranian diplomats that “America should know that peace with Iran is the mother of all peace, and war with Iran is the mother of all wars.” Trump’s all-caps message may make it seem as if the conflict with the Islamic Republic is inevitable. But just as Rouhani held out of the prospect of the “mother of all peace,” Trump’s message is reminiscent of his threats against the “madman” Kim Jong Un. He threatened the North Korean leader with “fire and fury,” and added that the North Korean leader will “be tested like never before.” Just months after making those remarks, Trump was meeting with Kim in Singapore, launching a diplomatic process that, while short on results so far, has been high on optimism. Given the history of U.S.-Iran relations, which were poisoned by the 1979 revolution, such an outcome is highly unlikely with Tehran. But Trump’s unpredictable and independent  foreign policy means, as he said last November, he’s the “only one that matters.”  Ultimately, Iran cannot afford a war with the U.S. It is tied up in Syria, Iraq, and, to a lesser extent, Yemen and Lebanon. It finances Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis. All this while its economy is in a moribund state and will almost certainly get worse. What Iran can do, however, is make things difficult for Trump in the region. It has broad political and cultural influence in Iraq, which, despite ongoing protests, is on the cusp of stability after years of conflict; it continues to support the Assad regime in Syria; and it has the potential to sow instability in Afghanistan, with which it shares a border. The U.S. is aware of all this. Even if the more hawkish elements of the Trump administration may favor a conflict with Iran—and there’s no public statement to suggest this is true—the president himself has been known to be averse to U.S. military adventurism. And, as he has said, he is “the only one that matters."what happens if we have war with Iran because of trump? the main disaster for citizens in both countries is economic .why Economic Disaster? A large portion of Iran or the U.S 's population are farmers, shopkeepers, and general working-class people. These people have been unable to import goods or export their own. This has been one of the biggest reasons for the protests breaking out. 

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